H-P With Slowing Revenue Risks

Tags: hpq
21 Nov 2:10am
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Following strong results for its third quarter of fiscal year 2008, Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) has announced better-than-expected preliminary results for the fourth quarter and has guided for a robust fiscal 2009. However, we remain concerned that several factors will cause revenue to slow in the future.

First, HPQ's acquisition of EDS adds a slower-growth company to its revenue base. Next, the global economy is slowing, and although Hewlett-Packard Co. has benefited from 68.0% of revenue coming from overseas, this could hurt going into next year.

We therefore maintain our Hold recommendation on HPQ shares with a six-month target price of $34.50. Hewlett-Packard is currently trading at a P/E multiple of 8.3x our 2009 EPS estimate of $3.99. Our six-month target represents a P/E multiple of 8.6x our fiscal 2009 EPS estimate.

Anita Mohata contributed to this report.

Read the full analyst report on HPQ.



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