Dillard's Holiday Outlook Neutral

Tags: dds
1 Dec 11:37pm
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Dillard's Inc. (DDS), headquartered in Little Rock, Arkansas is a large departmental store chain, featuring fashion apparel and home furnishings. The company reported net sales of $1.508 billion and a net loss of $0.64 per share in the third quarter, both of which were below our estimates. These results indicate that the company's business trends are getting weaker. We are estimating further declines over the next few years.


While the Dillard's is making some necessary moves to improve its business (cutting operating costs, closing underperforming stores, and reducing capital expenditures), those efforts won't bear fruit until the macro conditions begin to stabilize. Unfortunately, conditions are not improving and appear to be worsening in the near term. We maintain our Hold rating.


With projected losses for the next two years, the stock doesn't have a P/E multiple. Going out to fiscal 2010, we are forecasting that the company can earn $0.27 per share. Using that forward multiple, DDS shares are trading at 14x, which is not exactly a compelling valuation compared to its retail peers. Our six-month target price is $4.


Read the full analyst report on DDS



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